In the analysis the NTA (National Transfer accounts) method is used, which measures how each age group produces, consumes, shares, and saves resources. It measures economic flows across age groups since in some ages people consume more than they produce through their labour (and vice versa) and therefore they cover their “deficit” through public system transfers, private (familial) transfers and interactions with assets (interests received, credits etc.). Comparative analysis of NTA results for Slovenia with the NTA results for other countries reveals very distinctive age pattern of labour income. In Slovenia people enter labour market late and they escape very early to retirement. A surplus of labor income over consumption is therefore limited only to the ages from 25 to 55.
COBISS.SI-ID: 20535526
The article presents mortality development by cause of death in Slovenia in the past and it uses those results to project future developments in longevity. Using a deterministic approach we produce life tables for three different scenarios. The results show that the main driver of the mortality decline in the 1971–2008 period was the largest cause of death group – “diseases of the circulatory system”, while the second largest group “neoplasms” does not show any clear trend. In the baseline scenario, for the 2010–2060 period we project an increase in life expectancy at birth from 76.3 to 83.9 years for males and from 83.1 to 90.0 years for females.
COBISS.SI-ID: 20499686
The monograph presents the latest population projections for Slovenia. The current rapid population ageing is expected to continue and to be even more rapid also in the future – till 2060 the share of people in working age is expected to decline from current two-thirds to one-half of total population whereas the share of old people (aged 65+) is expected to double. Based on population projections and simulating the effects of the current pension legislation we present the development of public pension expenditures in the future – from 9% in 2008 to almost 17% in 2060. For this baseline variant and various other variants when limiting level of pensions (in the case government will in the future limit pension expenditures to certain levels) we calculate the amounts of monthly savings that would be required to preserve pension at 70% of wages despite the falling pensions from the first pension pillar.
COBISS.SI-ID: 256140544